Calculating Loan Prepay Speeds (Part II)

In a recent article (HERE) we discussed the importance of loan prepay speeds.  We explained why loan prepayment speed is a major factor influencing a bank’s profitability, how national banks use historical analysis, quantitative modeling, and predictive analytics to structure loans to increase loan retention (decrease loan prepayments).  We introduced the crucial factors influencing commercial…

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Why Commercial Loan Prepayment Speeds Matter

The biggest surprise for bank managers using risk-adjusted return on capital (RAROC) loan pricing models is the low return on equity (ROE) on smaller, shorter, and lower-credit quality commercial loans.  Those ROEs tend to subtract substantial value from the bank and show negative returns – sometimes in the negative double digits.  However, one aspect that…

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