Get Ready for Large Action Models in Banking

You engage an app and speak your mind about a financial task. You are agnostic about which one of your many relationships accomplishes the task, only that the task gets done. Where traditionally, you might use an interface such as Siri or Alexa to pay your Verizon bill on time, now you tell your virtual…

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How to Lock a Forward Rate on a Loan

A forward rate lock allows lenders to deliver a known loan rate on future borrower financing.  This strategy is used for various reasons discussed further in this article.  Recently, larger lenders, including Bank of America, JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, and Wells Fargo, have announced that they are seeing an elevated appetite for forward rate locks on…

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Bank Product Profitability and Productivity

In our last article (HERE), we highlighted the methodology around why banks should calculate and drive value through customer profitability and product profitability. We focused mainly on customer profitability and used risk-adjusted return on capital as a proxy for profitability. In this article, we wanted a different approach to arrive at the same conclusion but…

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Risk of Derivatives – The Fall of an Index

There are many historical examples of some sophisticated and some less sophisticated entities imploding from the risk of derivatives.  Barings Bank, Orange County (CA), Enron, Long-Term Capital Management, and other entities misused derivatives or didn’t understand the difference between hedging and speculating.  Some bankers will soon hear about another example of banks using derivatives that,…

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Bank Value: Here is a Better Way to Calculate and Manage

Ask a banker about the value of their bank, and they will either talk about some derivation of book value or earnings multiple. While these bankers are not wrong, they are not exactly right. While both valuation methods provide everyone with a nice, tidy sum of value, the data could be more actionable. You might…

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Loan Hedging for Community Banks in 2024

Community banks’ use of swaps (banks’ primary tool to hedge interest rate risk on loans) has increased substantially over the last ten years. The market expects the current inverted yield curve to remain through much of 2024 (based on long-term interest rates and the expected rate cuts in 2024).  Meanwhile, community banks face net interest…

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Best Banking Books To Create The Modern Banker

One common question we field is recommendations of books to improve either bank performance or personal performance. Since many bankers likely have a self-improvement goal in their New Year’s resolutions, we wanted to put out our recommendations right from the start. To do this, we teamed up with Jack Hubbard, Managing Partner of the Modern…

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How to Better Advise Commercial Clients About Rates in 2024

Many economists and analysts predict that the Federal Reserve and other central banks will start easing monetary policy in 2024.  Many bankers and borrowers are convinced that a recession is imminent despite no clear evidence for such a conclusion.  How should lenders discuss interest rates in 2024, and what advice should relationship managers provide their…

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How to Use RFM Customer Segmentation Analysis in Banking

In banking, there is often a discussion about “who are our best customers?” Some banks rank customers against current profitability, others against lifetime profitability, and some use a technique called “RFM,” which stands for “Recency,” “Frequency,” and “Monetary.” This article explores the methodology and shows you what this analysis means for a typical bank. How…

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How QT will Impact Cost of Funding in 2024

Most market participants are focused on just one monetary policy tool available to the Fed – short-term, federal funds rates.  However, the other critical monetary instruments available to the Fed are quantitative easing and tightening (QE and QT, respectively).  While the Fed’s current actions on QT have been deemed long-term, slow-moving, and compared to watching…

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10 Lessons From The Small Business Banking Conference

Recently, the American Banker hosted their annual Small Business Banking Conference in Nashville, and as always, it was one of the better banking conferences of the year. This conference is crucial because it provides insight into small business banking and has a good mix of essential banking-focused topics with a heavy emphasis on the customer…

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6 Concepts Borrowers Must Understand About The Lending Curve

Most borrowers have a rudimentary understanding of interest rates, the yield curve, forward rates, and forward premiums.  Commercial bankers are trusted advisors and have a unique opportunity to understand their client’s specific financial and personal situations, explain the basic concepts of capital markets, and offer prudent and objective advice to help customers reach their goals. …

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