CPI & PPI Hotter-than-Expected: Is Inflation Returning?
The hotter-than-expected PPI numbers yesterday were followed by even hotter CPI numbers this morning and that has spooked the Treasury market into a decent back-up in yields, and with the CPI numbers this morning the move could have a little legs to it. Mind you, the back-up in yields is less about a fear of…
When Will Your Bank Start Using Chat and Chatbots?
It is not a question of “if” it is only a question of “when” you will start deploying chat and chat automation at your bank. It should be on your radar screen for several reasons, the first of which is that it will soon be the fastest growing and the most preferred communication channel among…
Commercial Lender Survey Results
We sent out a survey to several thousand community bankers across the country to understand bankers’ concerns, challenges, and opportunities in the current business environment. We feel that organizing an exchange of ideas and sharing of strategies is beneficial to many bankers. We also offered resources (videos, white papers, policies, marketing material, online proposal generators,…
Stimulus by Executive Order?
Stimulus Via Executive Order? The fate of the stimulus bill remains very uncertain as both sides insist the other is being intransigent so it looks like any bill passing into law will take longer than investors had assumed only a week ago. So, President Trump stepped in over the weekend signing several executive orders replacing…
Examining Bond Portfolio Trends: Second Quarter 2020
Beginning in May 2012 we started tracking portfolio trends of our bond accounting customers here at the Correspondent Division of CenterState Bank. At present, we account for over 128 client portfolios with a combined book value of $11.4 billion, or $89 million on average per portfolio. Twelve months earlier the average portfolio size was $65…
July Jobs Report Beats, Treasuries Remain Unimpressed
The July Employment Report is out and instead of an expected increase of 1.5 million jobs the report found more at 1.8 million. Despite the positive beat, the scope of the damage still to be repaired is daunting. 9.3 million jobs have been created in the last three months versus 22.2 million jobs lost in…
Jobs Report and Fate of Stimulus Remain the Focus
The two biggest events driving the market this week are the Friday jobs report for July and the ongoing saga of the stimulus bill. The jobs report will be the first in a few months to have the potential to alter perceptions and trading direction. If the report beats expectations (1.5 million new jobs), the…
The Risk of The Main Street Lending Program By The Numbers
What is with all the waving we do at the end of Zoom calls? Should we start waving as we back out of the room for in-person meetings in the future? By the same token, many banks are baffled by what to do with the Main Street Lending Program (MSLP), as this is not something…
New Skills in Managing Employees and Customers Learned From a Pandemic
Covid-19 has changed many aspects of banking from branch operations to credit underwriting and remote supervision of employees. Many community bank managers are physically distanced from their teams because of the pandemic. This distancing creates new challenges on how to supervise, motivate, communicate with, coach, train, and review bankers. We face this same challenge and…
Jobs Report and Stimulus Bill Share Spotlight this Week
Stimulus Bill and July Jobs Report It’s jobs week so that will once again be the focus of the market and it’s been a while since the employment report held the potential to truly shift market expectations. But with the rise in Covid-19 cases and the stalling reopening efforts, the July jobs numbers will return…
Fed Keeps Rates Near Zero, Continues Vow to Use All its Tools
Today’s FOMC meeting was never going to be a barnburner and it lived up (or is that down?) to those limited expectations. The Fed left the fed funds rate unchanged today (0.00%-0.25%) and did not tweak the Interest on Excess Reserves (still at 0.10%). And being a non-quarter-end meeting there wasn’t an update to the…
FOMC & Fate of Stimulus Tops Today’s Events
Today’s FOMC Meeting won’t lead to any changes in monetary policy but the most important piece of information is likely to come from the post-meeting press conference where Fed Chair Powell is likely to be asked about what other measures might be employed from here. Most likely the answer will be strong forward guidance as…