Non-Maturity Deposits – A New Machined Learned Framework For ALM

Banking has now arrived at a speed that it cannot handle. While there have always been problems in banks’ asset-liability models (ALM) and liquidity stress test models, the current environment exacerbates this problem. Recent bank failures hurting public perceptions, the current market trends of higher rates, Quantitative Tightening, digital banking, social media, and a flight…

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The Risk of Interest Rate Movement in Relationship Banking

In recent articles (here and here), we discussed why banks that take the interest rate movement risk demonstrate lower performance as measured by return on assets (ROA). Empirical evidence, historical bank failures, and common sense teach us that many risks do not translate to higher yields. The second article compared and contrasted community banks’ pay-for-risk…

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The State of Liquidity & Regulation in Banking

While banking returned to some semblance of normal, many banks continued under short-selling pressure. In this article, we recap the latest data on deposits and banking in order to give you an updated picture. Deposit Balances The Fed’s H.8 report, published last Friday, provides an interesting snapshot of the banking system’s assets and liabilities through…

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The Top 20 Deposit-Rich Industries for 2023

In the quest for deposits, one successful tactic at top-performing banks is to target the right types of customers. While desiring to bank everyone in your community is noble, it can be a poor use of resources. Some customers offer better returns because they use more banking services and have more deposit balances. Not to…

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Building The Relationship Banking Model

In a recent article (here), we discussed why banks that take risks to earn higher revenue demonstrate lower performance as measured by ROA.   Empirical evidence, historical bank failures, and common sense teach us that many risks do not translate to higher yields.  While in that blog, we specifically considered the risk-return tradeoff for credit risk;…

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Use Our ERC Assist Program to Raise Deposits

You have undoubtedly heard or seen the various commercials and likely have even received phone calls about Employee Retention Credit, or ERC. The need for a known, reliable brand creates an excellent opportunity for community banks to help small business customers while building deposit balances. We introduced our ERC Assist program several months ago so…

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Bank Credit Risk: A Risk-Return Analysis

Most bankers are familiar with the concept of risk-return tradeoff, which states that potential return rises with an increase in risk.  Low-risk assets pay lower potential returns, whereas high-risk assets pay higher potential returns.  Further, some bankers are taught early in their careers that they are in the business of taking risks, and banks would…

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The Current Banking Crisis – 10 Not-So-Apparent Lessons

It turns out that confidence is more valuable than capital. While we wrote about the root cause of the failure of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) HERE, the lessons of the current banking crisis go beyond interest rate risk management. While interest rate risk caused the most significant impact on value, several other factors contributed to…

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Silicon Valley Bank Failure – Lessons in Interest Rate Risk Management

The abrupt collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) is a stunning example of bank leadership not understanding interest rate risk, running into trouble with an inverted yield curve, and ignoring the impact of a severe monetary correction on long-duration assets. There will be much more discussion and information written on this bank’s collapse, as well…

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ChatGPT 3.5 Turbo – The Risks and Ethics for a Bank Enterprise Application

Last week, we convened a group of 30 bankers to train on ChatGPT and ideate around new banking products related to the enterprise version. While we covered the 15 ways we use ChatGPT HERE to enable banking productivity, this class focused on productizing the application for banking needs. Since our last article, several companies, most…

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How Banks Use Debt Yield Ratio For Underwriting

In an article last week (HERE), we discussed why real estate loans underwritten at common debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) and loan-to-value (LTV) levels may quickly become substandard credits if capitalization (cap) rates normalize, as expected because interest rates are rising.  Credits will deteriorate much faster if an economic downturn stresses net operating income (NOI)….

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3 Rules to Getting Your Deposit Promotion Right

In our industry, many banks need to put more thought into the science and strategy of deposit promotions. This is, unfortunately, occurring as the number of deposit promotions is approaching a near-term high, and banks are throwing away money like an untargeted ad campaign. Not leveraging media, not having a current deposit pricing strategy, not…

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