Correspondent Blog

We have the privilege of using our risk-adjusted return on capital pricing (RAROC) model, and various other profitability tools, to analyze individual and multi-bank performance.  Our data and analysis strongly suggest that banks that can measure instrument and relationship-level performance for return on assets (ROA) and return on equity (ROE) can improve simply by reallocating…

In the 4th quarter of 2024, commercial loan pricing has materially changed. The new administration with its lighter regulatory stance, the potential for tax relief and threat of higher inflationary has generated new optimism for credit, and new risk of higher rates. In this article, we quantify commercial loan pricing trends from our Loan Command…

For a Boxing Day promotion, we are giving away 60 days of free usage for up to five bankers at each community bank for our Loan Command application. The objective is to allow you to see the latest profitability of your loans and deposits, on a forward looking basis. In addition, you can check out…

Should borrowers pay commercial loan points to lower future interest payments? Loan or mortgage points are upfront fees paid by the borrower to the lender to reduce the interest rate on a loan or mortgage.  For example, assume that a borrower is considering a loan, structured as a 25-year amortization, due in ten years, at…

In Q2/24 the average return of asset (ROA) for community banks (under $10B in assets) was 1.08%.  But within the community banking sector, performance varied among banks significantly and a large swath of banks need to improve ROA.  While the average ROA was 1.08%, approximately 5.7% of community banks reported negative ROA.  Another 16.2% of…

How does a commercial loan’s maturity and amortization impact credit? Many credit officers would prefer to set shorter maturities for loan repayment terms.  The logic is that it is better for the bank to control the credit with a hard stop and revisit credit appetite at shorter intervals.  If credit conditions are appropriate, the bank…

It is rare that banking lends itself to a logic test, but we have been trying this loan risk and return riddle on hundreds of bankers across the country for years, and only a few bankers choose the correct answer.  The riddle goes like this: You are presented with two loans. Loan A is priced…

If your bank is interested in banking more profitable commercial relationships – those customers with multiple bank products, where the bank holds over 50% of bank wallet, provides long-term sticky banking services and recognizes over 20% return on equity (ROE) – then the case study described in this article will be of interest to you. …

The biggest surprise for bank managers using risk-adjusted return on capital (RAROC) loan pricing models is the low return on equity (ROE) on smaller, shorter, and lower-credit quality commercial loans.  Those ROEs tend to subtract substantial value from the bank and show negative returns – sometimes in the negative double digits.  However, one aspect that…

We conducted a loan performance analysis for over 5,000 individual hedged commercial loans originated by almost 400 community and regional banks across the country. We measured prepayment speeds, loan size, loan term, fee income, loan yield, credit performance, and return on equity (ROE) of hedged loans and compared this performance to community bank industry averages….

Optionality is defined as a state in which choice or discretion is allowed. In finance, optionality is an asset (has value) for the person who can exercise the option, while the person who gave the option has the liability.  Selling options for above their value can be a profitable business for banks and brokers, but…

The average return on equity (ROE) for the banking industry declined to 11.10% in Q1/24 (a 23 percent decline in the last year). For banks under $10B in assets, ROE declined to 10.53% in Q1/24 (an 11% decline in the last year). The typical published analysis considers the industry in aggregate which conflates the challenges…