Correspondent Blog

Investors Try to Divine Pace and Magnitude of Rate Hikes Investors will be keen to see if the market volatility following the FOMC meeting last week starts to abate this week and provides a calmer trading environment. While the January jobs report on Friday is the highlight of the week from a data perspective, the…

Can Inflation Be Tamed  Without Damaging Growth? We want to kick-off today’s piece with a quick recap of what we heard from the Fed on Wednesday, and what we heard was decidedly hawkish. Shorter maturity Treasury yields will continue to rise as the Fed’s rate-hiking expectations get more ambitious. The question we have is whether…

More Hawkish Fed Talk Expected Today The Fed concludes its two-day meeting this afternoon, with a statement at 2pm ET and a Powell-led press conference at 2:30pm ET. We discuss in more detail below what we expect to hear coming out of the meeting, but suffice it to say we expect the statement and Powell’s…

Get your process right, and all else will follow. Most banks do not have an evolved process when it comes to bank product growth through product development, marketing, and sales. Growing a product is a quantitative effort that takes capital, planning, math, and a laser focus. In this article, we provide banks with a proven…

Bankers can be forgiven for not anticipating the start of the pandemic.  However, bankers must now be planning their business to capitalize on the transition from a pandemic to an endemic environment.  There is convincing evidence that the global economy will transition to an endemic phase after the omicron variant subsides – but caveats abound. …

Busy Week Headlined by the Fed For a Fed meeting that isn’t going to produce a rate hike, or any updates to rate and economic forecasts, it’s sure shaping up to be quite the pivotal meeting anyway. The market goes into Wednesday’s meeting with a consensus expectation that the Fed will signal quarterly 25bps rate…

Is the Treasury Market Ready for the Fed? We opened our article last Friday with the thought that, with a light data calendar, a Fed having gone into its pre-meeting quiet period, and a dearth of new information the market would range-trade until the meeting. Well, we got that wrong. The market was in no…

If you want to know how you can improve your bank’s profitability, one place that you can start is better loan pricing. While chances are your bank prices most of its loans correctly, it is the fringe cases that, in aggregate, end up having a large impact on bank profitability. In this article, we look…

We see three expected developments in 2022 that will make a loan hedging program an essential competitive advantage for community banks. Increasing short-term rates, higher expected inflation, and increased need for fee income will significantly benefit those community banks that can offer a seamless and document-friendly loan hedging program.  While we have our ARC Program…

Market Looking Ahead to FOMC Meeting Next Week This week is thin on market-moving economic releases, and it’s also thin on Fed headlines as officials have gone into radio silence prior to next week’s FOMC meeting. That’s not to say the holiday-shortened week is completely devoid of data, as some housing numbers will make an…

Range-Trading Appears to Lie Ahead Today, we receive a boatload of data headlined by retail sales for December. Other notable reports are industrial production, and the University of Michigan Sentiment survey for January. It’s not likely, however, that any of the new releases will move markets out of their recent ranges prior to the MLK…

Examining Bond Portfolio Trends: Fourth Quarter 2021 Beginning in May 2012, we started tracking  portfolio trends of our bond accounting customers here at the Correspondent Division of SouthState Bank.  At present, we account for over 130 client portfolios with a combined book value of $19.0 billion, or $143 million on average per portfolio.  Twelve months…