Stocks and Bonds Remain at Odds over Outlook
Positive economic news continues despite the drumbeat of increasing virus cases and that has emboldened stock traders to continue building on the multi-month rally. Meanwhile, the Treasury market remains stoically unimpressed, residing in the well-worn range that has held since the beginning of April, three and a half months ago. The 10-year yield has ranged…
2 Ideas From HMBradley That Your Bank Should Try
HMBradley is a fintech that has partnered with Hatch Bank, a subsidiary of Firstrust Bank ($3.7B, PA), to offer two innovations that we have talked about in the past, but few banks have executed. This fintech has tiered their rates based on the percentage saved and offers only a single operating account instead of checking,…
The Next Step For Banks In Moving To SOFR
In the next twelve months, the transition from LIBOR to alternative Risk-free Rates (SOFR in the US) will take an important course. Banks with products tied to LIBOR need to understand the implications of ISDA Fallback Protocol and how to manage possible risks with this critical industry transition. Shortly, ISDA (International Swaps and Derivatives Association)…
Fed Governor Brainard Lays Out Ultra-Accommodative Path
While stock investors once again looked at the world through rose-colored glasses yesterday, second quarter bank earnings certainly don’t point to V-shaped recovery. The big three of JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo set aside almost $28 billion in loan loss reserves which is second only to the set asides in the last quarter of…
Why Digital Deposit Marketing Should Get More of Your Resources
In the last quarter, the money market world has changed, which has important implications for banks. Not only is it less competition, but the influence that money market funds have on banks is substantial, and so it means less pressure on rates. Less pricing influence means less deposit price sensitivity, which not only means rates…
Virus News Will Continue to Drive Markets This Week
Positive news on a virus treatment last Friday blunted the steady drumbeat of increasing virus cases, at least for a day, and that serves as notice that the market is still completely focused on the outlook for the virus vis a vis the reopening of economies. As piece of that involves plans for school openings…
An Early Warning For Bank Multifamily Rent Trends
One of the most underappreciated commercial real estate trends in banking is the remarkable stability of multifamily rents during this pandemic. As of last week, according to the National Multifamily Housing Council (NMHC), 77.4% of renters in an 11.4 million sample size of professionally managed apartment complexes were making their rent payment which compares to…
As Case Counts Increase Treasury Yields Move Lower
The continued rise in virus cases has knocked the momentum out of stocks this week, especially with limited economic releases to divert attention. And that seems to be the case this morning with futures pointing to a lower open for stocks while Treasury yields dip to levels last seen nearly three months ago. We do…
Home in the Range
In a week with light data the market’s focus is even greater between the outlook on reopening versus the surge in virus cases and all that that could mean in slowing an expected economic rebound. On Monday, the mood was hopeful but it turned sour yesterday as once again spiking case counts, and increasing ICU…
Why The Pandemic Just Made Identity and Access a Strategic Imperative for all Banks
Underappreciated in the banking industry is the growing role of identity and access in banking. As banks build their digital strategies, we need to stop and think about how we know our customers (identity) and how we know that the verified customer we believe is trying to access a banking channel is really the customer…
Tug-of-War Continues
Perhaps there’s no better way to illustrate the tug-of-war between hopes for better economic results from reopenings and concern over increasing case counts than the reaction last Thursday to the June jobs report. While almost every metric in that report beat expectations, topped by a record 4.8 million new jobs, equities gave back much of…
Overcoming Lending Challenges for Community Banks
Covid-19 and the responses to the pandemic are exerting various pressures on community banks. How a community bank underwrites and books commercial credit through the end of 2020 will have a significant impact on the bank’s profits and credit quality through the entire next business cycle. In this article, we focus on four key steps…