Loan Portfolio Asset Allocation Is About To Cause Problems For Banks

Ask most banks how they construct their lending portfolio, and they say that “it is what the market gives them.” That is not a great answer. That level of passivity will likely cause us to lose 75+ banks during the next downturn. Loan portfolio asset allocation should be active. Credit risks are increasing, and a…

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Bank Impact of “Higher For Longer” Interest Rate Environment

On September 20, 2023, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) left its benchmark rate unchanged, but it would be a mistake to conclude that the committee did not send a strong message about the projected path of future interest rates.  The FOMC revised its view on future projected interest rates – rates will be “higher…

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These Are Your Most Profitable Cash Management Clients

Not all customers are created equal. Some customers are more profitable than others, and if you are out to build a more profitable bank, it pays to have a tactical plan to go after more profitable customers. The treasury or cash management customer is usually a bank’s most profitable customer on a risk-adjusted basis (HERE). …

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How to Manage Your Efficiency Ratio with Loan Size

The banking industry’s average efficiency ratio worsened for the first time since 2021. The industry’s efficiency ratio increased to 54.30% in Q2/23 from 52.98% in Q1/23. This development is very important to community banks, as their efficiency ratio also increased, but to 61.63%. The national banks have already indicated how they plan to reverse the…

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Making the Instant Payment Decision

Most banks have still not committed to RTP® or FedNowSM for their commercial customers – a bank’s most significant single profit driver. Most banks ignore instant payments or are still worried about fraud. The irony is that of the estimated $25 trillion in B2B payments in the U.S., 33% are still made via check that…

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Community Bank Performance – 2Q Lessons

On September 7, 2023, the FDIC released its banking profile.  This quarterly publication provides a comprehensive financial results summary for all FDIC-insured institutions (4,645 commercial banks and savings institutions insured by the FDIC).  While banks under $10B in assets comprise 97.8% of all banks by number, those same banks comprise only 14% of all banking…

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Behavioral Deposit Pricing – Optimizing the Three-Package Offer

We have discussed the importance of bundling or packaging deposit account services to speed up customer choices, increase profitability, and enhance deposit performance. However, many banks still offer just two choices, whereas if they offered three, they would increase profitability. In this article, we examine how behavioral deposit pricing works and how to use it…

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Loan Performance Analysis – Hedged vs. Unhedged Loans

We analyzed the loan performance (return on equity, loan yield, fee income, and loan size) of hedged borrowings in a large group of community banks and compared this to the community bank industry averages.  We conclude that loan-level hedging offers community banks a strong competitive advantage in the current interest rate and competitive commercial loan…

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Using Data in Banking – Get This Framework

One challenge in banking is that many banks know data is the bank’s future but lack a data framework. As a result, their progress in leveraging data and machine learning is slow. In this article, we explore what a data strategy looks like, how that translates into tactics, and how the “Next Best Action” should…

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The Term Structure of Rates and Its Impact on Commercial Borrowing

Bankers need to consider the term structure of rates, also known as the yield curve shape, when structuring and pricing commercial loans to maximize return and reduce risk.  Many bankers and borrowers are convinced that a recession is imminent, but the current term structure of rates does not necessarily establish this conclusion.  The yield curve’s…

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5 Steps to Better Treasury Management

If one product is the future of banking, it is treasury management. With a competitive offering, it will be easier to attract the small business and mid-sized companies that a bank needs to fuel its core growth. In this article, we detail the five steps to building a treasury management strategy, provide some tools to…

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What You Need to Know About Moody’s Banking Sector Review

Earlier this month, on August 7, 2023, Moody’s Investor Services (“Moody’s”) published a banking sector review.  That publication was referenced in the media as a US bank rating action, with a downgrade to ten larger banks (and a negative outlook to 11 other larger banks). However, that publication, directly and indirectly, identified three discrete risks…

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