Community Bank Loan Performance Analysis

We conducted a loan performance analysis for over 5,000 individual hedged commercial loans originated by almost 400 community and regional banks across the country. We measured prepayment speeds, loan size, loan term, fee income, loan yield, credit performance, and return on equity (ROE) of hedged loans and compared this performance to community bank industry averages….

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Here is the Cost and Risk of Lending Optionality

Optionality is defined as a state in which choice or discretion is allowed. In finance, optionality is an asset (has value) for the person who can exercise the option, while the person who gave the option has the liability.  Selling options for above their value can be a profitable business for banks and brokers, but…

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Here is the Future of Bank ROE and What to Do About It

The average return on equity (ROE) for the banking industry declined to 11.10% in Q1/24 (a 23 percent decline in the last year). For banks under $10B in assets, ROE declined to 10.53% in Q1/24 (an 11% decline in the last year). The typical published analysis considers the industry in aggregate which conflates the challenges…

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Reduce Credit Spreads to Increase Return

In last week’s article (here), we discussed why category and geographic diversification may be unfeasible for many community banks.  We concluded that after a community bank sets limits on loan categories, the added benefit of geographic or loan category diversification is nullified.  We discussed three main reasons why community bank diversification by geography and loan…

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Solving the Three-Body Problem in Banking

The “Three-Body Problem,” currently made popular by our new favorite author, Cixin Liu, is the concept of instability when three similar-sized celestial objects interact. The problem is currently unsolvable. Banking has a similar physics problem when management juggles strategy, risk/profitability, and customer behavior. This article will discuss the challenge of managing three potentially opposing forces…

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Bank Value: Here is a Better Way to Calculate and Manage

Ask a banker about the value of their bank, and they will either talk about some derivation of book value or earnings multiple. While these bankers are not wrong, they are not exactly right. While both valuation methods provide everyone with a nice, tidy sum of value, the data could be more actionable. You might…

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The Recency Trap and Building Deposit Balances

One of the lessons that was driven home at the recent American Banker Small Business Banking Conference in Nashville was the difference in marketing between large national banks and community banks, particularly deposit marketing. Most national and regional banks allocate marketing resources to recently acquired customers to get them to build deposit balances and purchase…

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Using A Commercial Step-Up Loan to Increase NIM and Fees

Community banks are striving to increase loan yield and maintain their cost of funding (COF).  Unfortunately, pressure on COF is expected to remain, and loans will reprice slower than expected as borrowers with below-market rates will wait until the last maturity day to refinance their credits.  We have created and used a novel structure to…

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How Banks Can Better Use Grid-Based Pricing

Grid-based pricing is typically used to set the applicable margin of a loan based on specific performance measures, such as credit rating or cash flow coverage.  However, grid-based pricing can also be used to increase deposit balances.  The average borrower does not calculate their cost of borrowing and return on deposits on the economic value…

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What Relationship Pricing Means for Bank Performance

Many banks pride themselves on superior customer service, and approximately 90% of all community banks believe that they provide an above-average level of customer service (the math cannot work that way).  The reason bankers should want to provide an above-average level of service is to increase profitability, which translates to charging customers more in the…

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1Q 2023 Loan Pricing Update

2022 will go down as one of the worst years for community bank loan mispricing when viewed on a spread basis. Rapidly rising rates crushed performance as many banks held a fixed rate constant and/or booked a fixed rate loan at a misguided level. Even though many loans were booked at below-par value (more information…

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Why You Need To Use Funds Transfer Pricing in Banking

Funds transfer pricing (FTP) has been an essential tool for financial institutions for several decades.  FTP was introduced to banks in the early 1980s to help manage interest rate risk on a transactional basis.  FTP gained further focus after the 2007 financial crisis when financial firms failed partly because of the lack of funds transfer…

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