Correspondent Blog

Deposit costs and liquidity remain a challenge for some community banks as competition for core funding remains intense.  The graph below compares the liquidity ratio for community banks (under $10B in assets) and banks over $100B in assets.  The average difference in liquidity is stark, but for many community banks the issue is translating to…

You might need a new digital banking platform. Chances are your bank chose your current digital platform because it was easy. Maybe your core vendor provided it, or perhaps you were sold a platform by a vendor you happened to meet at a conference. Likely, your vendor has little relationship to your strategic needs and…

FDIC-insured “Problem Banks” list has been increasing over the past two years.  For the community banking industry (banks under $10B in assets), this is particularly troubling as the number of community banks earning negative return on equity (ROE) spiked to 237 institutions in Q1/24, or 5.71% of all community banks. Bank ROE is now a…

S&P Global’s annual Community Banking Conference (CBC) should be on every executive banker’s agenda. This banking conference is designed to highlight top performing banks, their strategies and tactics. The 2024 conference covered a wide range of topics that matter and has the highest ratio of top-performing banks to attendees of any conference in the industry….

The average return on equity (ROE) for the banking industry declined to 11.10% in Q1/24 (a 23 percent decline in the last year). For banks under $10B in assets, ROE declined to 10.53% in Q1/24 (an 11% decline in the last year). The typical published analysis considers the industry in aggregate which conflates the challenges…

In discussing ERC (Employee Retention Credit) with banks over the last year, we discovered a common theme. Most banks have either been told they are not eligible or come to this conclusion on their own because they did not experience a decrease in revenues. Many banks performed better than expected during the pandemic due to…

Most borrowers are implicitly expressing a view that interest rates will be lower in the future than the current market expectation. This view is reflected by a sharp decrease in the average contractual loan commitment term at community banks and an increase in floating vs. fixed rate structures. Borrowers are choosing short-term financing in anticipation…

Between now and the end of 2027, it is estimated that $2.2T of office loans is coming due. Much of this product lies on banks’ balance sheets. A high percentage of those office loans on banks’ balance sheet are balloon structures where the bulk of the loan’s principal is due. Equally worrisome is the large…

In last week’s article (here), we discussed why category and geographic diversification may be unfeasible for many community banks.  We concluded that after a community bank sets limits on loan categories, the added benefit of geographic or loan category diversification is nullified.  We discussed three main reasons why community bank diversification by geography and loan…

Bankers have been taught to diversify their loan portfolio to reduce idiosyncratic (individual borrower) risk and to stabilize earnings. The thinking is that diversification-induced lending leads to banking resiliency. We believe that while lending diversification leads banks to lend more in normal times (especially for banks over $50B in assets) and does benefit the general…

Last week, Nacha held its Smarter Faster Payments Conference in Miami, a significant event for over 1,800 bankers and vendors. With 142 presentations and panels, the content was tailored to the needs of every bank interested in payments. The major themes of fraud, artificial intelligence (AI), expansion of instant payments, open banking, and regulation were…

As the risk of a recession gets pushed out by the market, so does the risk of credit. This is not to say bank credit is without risk, as higher rates, inflation, and a slowing economy have taken their toll. Three essential credit metrics – probabilities of default (POD), POD rate of change, and POD…