Correspondent Blog

Despite higher inflation/energy, greater volatility and lower projected debt service coverage, banks drove loan growth tightening pricing for investor-owned properties but widening pricing for C&I. In this article, we will break down detailed 2026 commercial loan pricing data and highlight both trends and insights into 2Q. As we reported last week in our credit outlook…

The first quarter of 2026 has brought tariffs, a war, greater inflation/higher energy prices, AI-driven changes, more volatility and more uncertainty. Unfortunately, almost every aspect of this current environment is inversely correlated to bank performance. The bank credit outlook is highly volatile with a skew to the downside due to higher inflation to include higher…

In our previous article (HERE) we discussed differences between how various banks price commercial loans.  When it comes to setting commercial loan rates, we contrasted “ideal” and real-world pricing strategies employed by banks. We highlighted the objectives of loan pricing and summarized seven tools that community banks can use to price commercial loan relationships. In…

In a perfect world, when it comes to pricing commercial loans, banks would price customer relationships based on risk-adjusted return on capital (RAROC) and incorporate shareholder value-added (SVA). Banks would then measure profitability at the customer, product, branch, region, or manager level so that management may properly allocate resources to drive institutional profitability. Banks would…

Over the last few months, we have been hosting dozens of banks to lender lunches across the country.  At these lender lunches we discuss credit and pricing trends, deposit gathering strategies, loan pricing and structuring, and fee generation opportunities for community banks.  While we will author a separate article about what we heard from community…

When banks price loans, they stress the borrower’s ability to repay the loan under adverse credit conditions. For example, credit officers will underwrite to various interest rates, vacancy rates, revenue projections, EBITDA or NOI assumptions. However, most banks will not subject that same credit stress analysis to calculate that loan’s ROE. This is unfortunate because…

We are not big proponents of loan pricing grids. We find pricing grids to be rudimentary – lacking the myriad of inputs that distinguish risk-adjusted return on capital (RAROC), such as acquisition and maintenance costs, fees, interest rate, credit risk, and cross-sell opportunities (some of the most important drivers of banking profitability).  We believe that…

In a competitive market for commercial clients, each loan feature can be valuable to a community bank. One such loan feature is a prepayment provision on fixed-rate loans.  Some community banks offer fixed-rate loans through a hedging program and utilize a symmetrical prepayment provision, others community banks will market their fixed rate loans based on…

In the 4th quarter of 2024, commercial loan pricing has materially changed. The new administration with its lighter regulatory stance, the potential for tax relief and threat of higher inflationary has generated new optimism for credit, and new risk of higher rates. In this article, we quantify commercial loan pricing trends from our Loan Command…

Deposit costs and liquidity remain a challenge for some community banks as competition for core funding remains intense.  The graph below compares the liquidity ratio for community banks (under $10B in assets) and banks over $100B in assets.  The average difference in liquidity is stark, but for many community banks the issue is translating to…

Most borrowers are implicitly expressing a view that interest rates will be lower in the future than the current market expectation. This view is reflected by a sharp decrease in the average contractual loan commitment term at community banks and an increase in floating vs. fixed rate structures. Borrowers are choosing short-term financing in anticipation…

As the risk of a recession gets pushed out by the market, so does the risk of credit. This is not to say bank credit is without risk, as higher rates, inflation, and a slowing economy have taken their toll. Three essential credit metrics – probabilities of default (POD), POD rate of change, and POD…